ChartOdds Blog
Trading Insights
Data-backed analysis, earnings breakdowns, and education on how to use historical odds in your trading — from the ChartOdds team.
S&P 500 Falls 1.6%: The Growth-to-Value Rotation Is On
The S&P 500 shed 1.6% last week. Energy led. Tech lagged. Traders are repositioning for a different environment.
SOXX Was Already Breaking Before Kimi K3 Got the Blame
Long semiconductors hit 82% net long before any K3 headline. TSMC raised guidance and got sold. The trade was already exhausted.
Volatility Paid Out for Bank Trading Desks in Q2
Market turbulence in Q2 was a revenue engine for major bank trading operations. RBC's Gerard Cassidy broke down what worked and why.
China's AI Moonshot Just Reminded Chip Investors What Risk Looks Like
A brutal week for semiconductor stocks ended worse on Friday. China's accelerating AI buildout is raising questions the chip trade hasn't had to answer in a while.
Energy Stocks Are Running. The Data Shows Why.
The energy sector is outperforming. Before you ignore it, look at what the numbers are actually saying.
MSDL Downgraded to Hold: The Dividend Cut Is Just the Beginning
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending cut its dividend 10% and NII coverage is still thin. The downgrade to Hold reflects a real risk profile shift.
Biopharma Is Beating the S&P. Why Healthcare Is the Rotation Play Right Now.
The NYSE Arca Pharmaceutical Index is outrunning the S&P 500. Citi analysts say biopharma has the setup to keep going.
Chips Fall, Transports Rise: What the Rotation Is Actually Telling You
The indexes are still flirting with records. What's moving underneath them tells a different story.
Priced for Perfection: What AI Spending Is Doing to Debt Markets
Hyperscalers are borrowing at record levels to fund AI infrastructure. Debt markets are starting to notice.
Credit Card Delinquencies Are at 15-Year Highs. Big Banks Don't Feel It Yet.
Aggregate delinquency data looks alarming. The biggest lenders' earnings tell a different story. Both are right.
Trump's 20% Hormuz Fee Lasted One Day
Trump announced a 20% charge on Strait of Hormuz cargo shipments Monday. Gulf allies pushed back. He dropped it Tuesday.
Kevin Warsh at the Fed: What the Market Is Actually Pricing In
Larry Kudlow says Kevin Warsh understands the Fed's mission better than the current chair. Traders should know what that means for rates.
Atlanta Braves Holdings Q2 2026 Preview: Battery Atlanta Is Carrying the Load
Baseball revenue softens this quarter due to fewer home games. Battery Atlanta and BravesVision are the numbers that matter.
Iran Nuclear Talks Keep Stalling. Hormuz Is the Real Problem.
US and Iran are far apart on the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions, and implementation. Technical talks are happening. Progress is not.
S&P 500 Is 0.45% From a Record. Here's What's Leading.
The S&P 500 is up 10.7% YTD and nearly at an all-time closing high. Tech is doing the heavy lifting.
Mortgage Rates Hit 6.49%. Affordability Is Still Moving the Right Direction.
The 30-year fixed mortgage climbed to 6.49% this week. Affordability is still trending in buyers' favor.
Apollo: A Delayed AI Payoff Could Be the Trigger for the Next Recession
Apollo Global Management says AI is the one thing keeping the economy upright. If the payoff slows, there is nothing behind it to catch the fall.
Memory Chips Shrug Off Iran Strikes. Wall Street Follows.
Iran escalation hit the tape. Memory stocks didn't care. Here's what that divergence is telling traders.
Kalshi Traders Bet Nasdaq-100 Ends 2026 Near 30,000. No Breakout Expected.
Prediction market traders on Kalshi see the Nasdaq-100 finishing 2026 right around where it is now. Nobody's pricing in a breakout above 32,000.
Chip Stocks Just Posted a Record Quarter. Now the Valuation Math Is Getting Hard.
Semiconductors put up their best numbers in years. The market's response was skepticism. That's the signal worth reading.
U.S. Resumes Strikes on Iran. The Strait of Hormuz Is Back in Play.
U.S. Central Command confirmed a new round of strikes on Iran after Iranian forces attacked three commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz. About 20% of global oil supply moves through that waterway.
Investor Groups Tell SEC: Keep Quarterly Earnings Reports
The investment industry is pushing back against any move away from quarterly reporting. The comment letters are in, and the message is clear.
OpenAI Is Eyeing a Government Deal. Here's Why That Should Make Investors Nervous.
Sam Altman is entertaining a partnership with the U.S. government that could reshape who actually controls the most powerful AI company in the world. The market hasn't priced this in yet.
Syntiant Corp Files for IPO. Here's What the Filing Means.
Syntiant Corp, a semiconductor and software company focused on edge AI chips, filed for a US IPO Monday. No pricing details yet.
Former TD Ameritrade CEO: The Stock Market's Future Is Solid
Joe Moglia spent decades inside market infrastructure. His read on where stocks go from here is worth more than most.
Stock Futures Rise as Fed Minutes Take Center Stage This Week
Wall Street comes off a strong week with one key event on the calendar. The Fed's June meeting minutes drop midweek.
Equity REITs Are Outgrowing Their Historical Average. Here's Where the Opportunity Is.
REIT earnings are forecast at 6-7% growth, nearly double the historical baseline. Three sectors are driving it.
Stock Funds Gained 17.1% in One Quarter. Here's What Actually Drove It.
An IPO surge, a war rally, and a new Fed chair made for one of the most eventful quarters in recent memory. The data tells the story.
S&P 500 Up 9.3% YTD: Small Caps Are Leading and Tech Is Still the Trade
The S&P 500 has gained 9.3% this year. Small and microcaps are outrunning large caps, tech is the top sector, and Communication Services is the one nobody wants right now.
Blacklisted Entities Moved $100 Billion in Crypto in 2025. Here's How.
Sanctioned nations and terrorist networks processed $100 billion through crypto last year. The tools they're using are the same ones retail traders use every day.
BAE Systems, Leonardo, and Mitsubishi Lock In $6.14B Stealth Fighter Deal
Three defense primes just secured a $6.14 billion government-funded contract to build the next-generation stealth fighter. This is a decade-plus revenue story.
Mega-IPOs Are Rewriting the ETF Playbook
ETF providers aren't waiting for mega-IPOs to list anymore. SpaceX is already reshaping how funds get built before a single share trades.
PJM Declares Grid Emergency as Heat Wave Pushes U.S. Power System to the Edge
The largest power grid in the United States is cutting electricity consumption under federal order. Generator outages plus record AC demand is a bad combination.
JPMorgan Has to Keep Paying Charlie Javice's Legal Bills. Even After the Fraud Conviction.
A federal judge ruled JPMorgan must continue covering the legal defense of the founder convicted of defrauding it. The tab includes gummy bears and cellulite butter.
Russell 2000's Best First Half Since 1991. One Down Week Changes Nothing.
Small-caps just posted their strongest first-half performance in 34 years. A pullback was inevitable. A reversal wasn't.
Jobs Report Comes in Soft. Wall Street Is Already Repositioning.
The latest jobs data missed expectations. Traders are reading it as a signal, not noise.
Meta Admits Excess Compute. The AI Infrastructure Trade Just Changed.
Meta is the first hyperscaler to publicly admit it has more compute than it needs. That admission has direct implications for the entire AI capex cycle.
Trump's Middle East Business Is Generating Real Money. Here's the Breakdown.
Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE have been good to the Trump Organization. Meanwhile SpaceX hints at AI hardware and Mars goes after a natural blue M&M.
Bridgewater's Pure Alpha Posts 8.1% Gain in H1 While Markets Churned
The world's largest hedge fund made money when most didn't. That number tells you something about where macro is headed.
Small-Cap Stocks Just Had Their Best Start Since 1991. H2 Is a Different Story.
The Russell 2000 closed out the best first half for small-caps in 35 years. History says what comes next is not a straight line.
H2 2026 Market Outlook: What Traders Need to Watch After a Brutal First Half
The first six months of 2026 moved stocks, bonds, and geopolitics in ways that separated disciplined traders from narrative chasers. Here is what the second half sets up.
Stocks Just Posted Their Best Quarter in Years. The Hard Part Starts Now.
Q2 closed strong. The same risks that got priced out this quarter are still live.
Supreme Court Blocks Trump From Firing Fed Governor Lisa Cook
The Supreme Court temporarily blocked the Trump administration from removing Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. Fed independence is now a live legal question.
Put/Call Ratios Are Signaling a Rally Setup. It's Not There Yet.
Three key put/call ratio metrics are moving away from bullish extremes. The contrarian buy signal hasn't triggered. Here's what that means.
BTI Is Cutting 9,000 Jobs. AI Is the Replacement.
British American Tobacco is eliminating 5,500 positions and outsourcing 3,500 more. The company is using AI to restructure as cigarette volumes keep falling.
Markets Are Pricing Zero War Premium on Iran. What That Means for H2.
Stocks are shrugging off U.S.-Iran uncertainty. A Warsh-led Fed and one inflation variable will determine whether that confidence holds through year-end.
U.S. and Iran Exchange Strikes. Futures Open Sunday Night.
Military escalation between the U.S. and Iran threatens a fragile ceasefire. Futures markets get their first crack at pricing it Sunday evening.
S&P 500 Breaks the 50SMA. The Chart Is Pointing to 7197.
June closed as a bearish bar and price broke below the 50-day moving average. The near-term target is 7197, and any bounce is likely a lower high.
International Bonds: Rate Divergence Is the Opportunity
Allspring Global Investments is steering clients toward non-U.S. bond markets. The play is rate divergence and inflation dynamics that don't follow the Fed's script.
The Market Looks Expensive. Abby Joseph Cohen Thinks You Should Care.
Former Goldman Sachs partner Abby Joseph Cohen says elevated stock prices are masking real risk. The labor market is the one nobody is pricing in.
Tanker Hit in Strait of Hormuz as U.S.-Iran Tensions Build
A vessel was struck by an unidentified projectile in the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday. When that waterway gets disrupted, oil markets respond. Every time.
Saks Global Exits Chapter 11 With a New Name and Fewer Stores
The luxury retailer cleared bankruptcy after five months. It comes out smaller, with less debt and a restructured ownership.
The Rally Ran Into a Wall. S&P 500 and Nasdaq Fell Every Day This Week.
Five straight down sessions across both major indexes. That kind of pressure across the board is not noise.
Saks Global Exits Bankruptcy as Exemplar Luxury Group
The luxury retail conglomerate emerges from Chapter 11 with a new name, a 75% debt reduction, and a reset balance sheet.
Reformation Files for a US IPO
The sustainable clothing brand just dropped an SEC filing. Here's what traders need to know before it hits the market.
HEI Makes It 18 Straight. WKC Raises 15%. Dividend Week in Review.
Quiet week for dividend news. Two stocks raised payouts. Here's the data.
Healwell AI (AIDX) Shareholder Call: What Management Said
Healwell AI delivered prepared remarks to shareholders and analysts. Here is what was on the table.
AI Stocks Fade While Consumer Names Catch a Bid
Rotation hit the market Wednesday. Tech and AI names gave back gains as investors moved money into beaten-down consumer stocks.
Bowman Finishes Fed's Bank Oversight Restructure
The Federal Reserve's bank supervision unit has a new structure. Vice Chair Michelle Bowman wrapped up the overhaul she announced in October.
Dividend Growth in 2026: Where to Look When Big Tech Is Burning Cash
AI capex is consuming free cash flow across Big Tech. Dividend growth still exists. You just have to look in the right sectors.
Sandisk Is Still Up 727% in 2026. It Just Dropped 13% in One Day.
Tuesday's selloff in Sandisk and Micron is a reminder of what happens when momentum stocks meet any friction at all. The gains are still massive. So is the risk.
AI Boom Fears Trigger a Tech Selloff
Tech stocks dropped sharply as the market starts questioning whether AI spending will produce the returns already priced into these valuations.
The Market Paused. Tech Stocks Might Actually Need That.
After a strong run, consolidation isn't a warning sign. Historically, it's setup.
Warsh's First Fed Meeting Just Shifted Rate Hike Odds
The Fed held rates steady on June 17. But it was Kevin Warsh's debut as Chair, and the market repriced rate expectations almost immediately.
The Bond Market Is Pricing In Too Much Hawkishness
The BOJ, ECB, and Fed all turned hawkish at the same time. Markets sold off. The bond market may be overreading it.
Oil Climbs as Iran Stalls Nuclear Talks With the U.S.
Iran is conditioning nuclear negotiations on an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon. Oil markets reacted immediately.
J.P. Morgan's Bob Michele Says Bonds Are Worth Owning Again
Bob Michele from J.P. Morgan Asset Management sees the bond market as a legitimate opportunity. Here's what that means for rate expectations and your portfolio.
Nasdaq Jumps 2% as U.S.-Iran Peace Deal Advances and Gas Prices Drop
Equities reversed Wednesday's losses in a single session. The catalyst was diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran.
Memory Stocks Are Having Their Best Year Ever. The Valuations Don't Reflect It.
Memory is having a historic run driven by HBM and AI infrastructure demand. The market is still pricing it like a downcycle.
The Fed Just Killed the Rate Cut Narrative
The Fed held rates but stripped its easing bias and hardened its dot plot. Rate cuts are no longer the base case.
Warsh Doubles Down on Inflation. Markets Took the Hit.
Fed officials signaled rates could move higher before year-end. Stocks fell. Bond yields jumped. The market heard it clearly.
The Rally Is Spreading. Banks and Retailers Are Finally Showing Up.
Tech carried the market for months. Now breadth is returning, and that changes the bear case.
AlphaSpace: Yahoo Finance Puts Pro-Level Tools in Retail Hands
Yahoo Finance launched AlphaSpace to close the gap between retail and institutional investing tools. Portfolio tracking, sector analysis, and custom data visualization in one platform.
Cargill Studies Beef Tallow for Brazil Biodiesel as U.S. Tariffs Redirect the Trade
U.S. tariffs are making tallow exports less attractive. Cargill is now studying whether Brazil's biodiesel market picks up the slack.
MANGOS Is the New Mag Seven. Wall Street Found a Fresh Acronym for the AI Trade.
Wall Street retired the Magnificent Seven and built a new basket. Some of the stocks in it aren't even public yet.
US Oil Reserves Hit a 43-Year Low. The Demand Spike Is Just Getting Started.
The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is at its lowest level since the 1980s. Countries that went without oil during the Hormuz closure are now back in the market, and they're buying more than before.
The Real Retirement Risk Nobody Plans For
It's not a market crash. Health-related costs are the No. 1 threat to retirement security, and most portfolios aren't built for it.
Volatility Is Back. Markets Shift as Risk Appetite Cools.
Market stability broke down fast. Macro uncertainty and fading risk appetite are driving the move.
The Fed Is Dropping the Easing Bias. Rate Cuts Are Off the Table.
The June FOMC meeting is shaping up to be a hawkish pivot. Accelerating core inflation and a steady labor market give the Fed no reason to cut.
Stock Futures on Hold as Trump's Iran Deal Deadline Arrives
Markets paused Sunday waiting on a war deal Trump said would happen. Israeli strikes on Lebanon kept the pressure on.
Kevin Warsh's First Fed Meeting: Nobody Knows What He'll Do
Kevin Warsh chairs his first Fed meeting this week. Economists are watching closely because for once, they genuinely can't call it.
Pimco Warns: Debt Defaults Are Coming Back. Here's Their Game Plan.
Pimco sees credit defaults picking up and equity valuations running hot. The bond giant is moving toward fixed income.
June FOMC Preview: Kevin Warsh's First Fed Meeting and What Traders Need to Watch
Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting on June 17. The rate decision is already priced. The press conference is not.
The Token Tax: How AI Economics Are Splitting Software Into Winners and Renters
Per-token AI costs are falling, but agentic workloads are eating the savings. The companies that control the billing layer keep the margin. The ones that don't are just absorbing the cost.
Kevin Warsh's First Fed Meeting Will Tell You Everything
The pullback hasn't shown a clean washout. June FOMC is the next real test for this market.
Oil Drops 4% as Trump Claims Iran Peace Breakthrough
Trump says there's a breakthrough in U.S.-Iran peace talks. Oil markets responded immediately, dropping more than 4% while global equities rallied.
Kevin Warsh Prefers 'Chairman.' Here's Why That Framing Matters.
Trump's new Fed pick holds his first meeting next week. The title debate is a footnote. The rate cut pressure is not.
Markets Are Getting Choppy Again. AI and IPOs Are Why.
Violent index swings are back. AI uncertainty and a wave of mega IPOs are creating the conditions for it.
AAII Sentiment Survey: Bearish Readings Spike to 47.6%
Bullish sentiment fell to 30.4% this week. Bears are now running 16 points above their historical average.
What DC Energy Insiders Are Actually Saying About Oil and Iran
The Global Energy Forum just wrapped in DC. Here's what the people closest to energy policy are saying about Iran, Hormuz, and why the pipeline thesis is weaker than markets think.
US Foreign Investment Hits $232 Billion. Tariffs Are the Reason.
Foreign direct investment into the US jumped to $232 billion in 2025, reversing four straight years of declines. The driver isn't confidence. It's tariff avoidance.
Iran Closes the Strait of Hormuz: Biggest Oil Shock Since 1973
The Strait of Hormuz is closed. 11 million barrels per day are offline. The energy market has not seen a supply hit this large in over 50 years.
EWZ: Brazil Still Has Upside. The Trade Got Messier.
Brazilian equities still look cheap against U.S. markets. The setup has gotten complicated, not broken.
IQLT: International Quality Still Wins the Long Game
IQLT has a long-term track record of outperforming its benchmark. One rough year doesn't change the math.
VLUE Is Up 44% YTD. One Stock Is Doing Most of the Work.
iShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF is the top-performing large-cap value ETF this year. Micron Technology is 21% of the fund. Those two facts are connected.
Tom Lee: The Pullback Is Healthy. The Tech Trade Isn't Done.
Fundstrat's Tom Lee says Tuesday's market action is a normal reset, not a reversal. Chip stocks stay in play.
Chip Stocks Rally as the AI Trade Comes Back to Life
Semiconductors sold off hard. Then they bounced. The AI trade isn't dead — it just needed a reset.
Inflation Could Hit 4% This Week. The Bond Market Is Watching Warsh.
CPI data drops this week and estimates are ugly. The bond market already priced in doubt about the Fed's next move.
The Chip Stocks That Will Crack First After Friday's Nasdaq Wipeout
The Nasdaq just posted its worst day since Liberation Day. Over $1 trillion in chip losses. Not every name bounces back the same way.
Boehringer-Zealand's Obesity Drug Cuts the Right Fat and Keeps the Muscle
Late-stage trial data shows the Boehringer-Zealand obesity drug reduces visceral and liver fat while preserving lean mass. That's a different story than what most competitors are telling.
Nasdaq Posts Worst Day Since April 2025 as Iran War Hits 100-Day Mark
The Nasdaq just logged its worst session since April 2025. One hundred days of war in Iran is now a market variable.
Wall Street Braces for Inflation Data and SpaceX IPO After Market Selloff
Markets sold off. Now two catalysts sit directly ahead: a fresh inflation print and one of the most anticipated IPOs in years.
Historic Downside Risk Is Real. These 10 Low-Volatility Stocks Hold Up.
The market is flashing downside risk at historic levels. Low-volatility stocks are already beating it on a risk-adjusted basis.
Jobs Report Hits Solar and AI Stocks. Not All of Them Deserve It.
Friday's selloff punished capital-heavy sectors across the board. The rate sensitivity is real for some names. For others, it's just noise.
Middle East Airlines That Defer Jet Orders Over Iran War Will Pay for It Later, IATA Says
Higher fuel costs and war uncertainty are pressuring Middle Eastern carriers to delay aircraft orders. IATA says that's the wrong call.
Chip Stock Carnage Hits Harder When the Market Is This Top-Heavy
Semiconductor stocks are bleeding. In a market this concentrated, that pain doesn't stay contained.
Tech Sells Off as Markets Brace for May CPI
The tech rally reversed. Traders are now positioned around one number: May's consumer price index.
SPY: Why Inflation Lifts Equities and What Actually Breaks This Trade
Rising inflation and higher yields are spooking traders. The data says equity holders are reading this wrong.
Fed Eyes Rate Hikes Again. May Payrolls Are Friday.
The Fed is back to debating hikes. May payrolls drop Friday and the number moves everything.
Dow Hits a Fresh Record. Healthcare and Financials Did the Work.
The Dow added 875 points to close at an all-time high. Healthcare and financial stocks carried the move while Broadcom dragged tech.
S&P 500 Is Priced for Perfection. The Data Disagrees.
Two of the most reliable valuation metrics are near all-time highs. The margin for error in this market is thin.
Supreme Court Killed the Tariffs. The White House Found Another Way.
The Court blocked Trump's sweeping global tariffs on legal grounds. The administration is now trying again through a different statutory authority.
The Fed Can't Fix This Inflation. Congress Can.
Two types of inflation sit completely outside the Fed's reach. Rate hikes don't solve either one. That's a Congress problem.
The Fed's Beige Book Says Inflation Is Accelerating. Here's What's Behind It.
The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book shows inflation rising at a strong pace across most districts, with energy costs tied to the Middle East conflict doing most of the damage.
Why a Hormuz Crisis Won't Hit Like the 1970s
The Strait of Hormuz still matters. But the energy market that depends on it looks nothing like the one that buckled in 1973.
How to Protect Your Portfolio Before the Next Market Crash
Bull markets end. Every single one. Here's what the data says about protecting your downside before the next correction hits.
Semiconductors and AI Stocks Are Priced for Perfection
High multiples in semis and AI leave no room for error. One bad quarter and the de-rating starts.
The $3 Trillion IPO Trap: Red Flags, Oil Risk, and Warren's Tax Play
Iran walks from negotiations, the IPO market sits on $3 trillion in paper wealth, and Elizabeth Warren wants to tax AI. Here's what the data actually says.
The Options Market Is Flashing a Warning Sign
Traders are piling into bullish call options at an aggressive pace. Historically, that kind of one-sided positioning doesn't end quietly.
Anthropic Files to Go Public. Here's What Else Moved the Market This Week.
Anthropic takes a step toward an IPO, the Trump administration reverses course on an anti-weaponization fund, and longevity clinics become the new status symbol.
What the Dot-Com Crash Actually Teaches AI Investors
The internet was real in 2000. The valuations weren't. AI investors need to understand the difference before history runs the same play.
Apollo's Economist Says Zero Evidence of AI Job Losses. CEOs Keep Blaming It Anyway.
Apollo's chief economist says AI hasn't displaced a single worker in the macro data. Corporate America is telling a different story.
Korea and Japan Are the Real Risk. Hormuz Is Just Noise.
The Strait of Hormuz moves oil prices for a few sessions. Korea and Japan can move bond markets, chip supply chains, and currency pairs simultaneously.
Dell, Intel, and Nokia Are Surging. AI Is Why.
Legacy tech names are back in the conversation. The catalyst is AI infrastructure demand, and the market is repricing fast.
U.S.-China Rivalry Is Breaking Supply Chains. Here's How to Position Your Portfolio.
Geopolitical risk isn't a tail risk anymore. It's priced into every supply chain decision a company makes.
Dow vs. S&P 500: The Index You Pick Matters Less Than You Think
The Dow just turned 130. The debate over which index to own is the wrong conversation.
Blue Origin's Launchpad Explosion Hands SpaceX More Runway
A New Glenn rocket exploded on the launchpad Thursday. Blue Origin was closing the gap on SpaceX. Now it is not.
US and Mexico Finish First USMCA Renegotiation Round: Autos, Steel, and Security on the Table
US and Mexico trade negotiators wrapped their first bilateral round of USMCA revision talks. Automotive rules of origin, steel and aluminum trade, and economic security were all on the table.
US Earnings Are Accelerating. The S&P 500 Is Telling You That.
Geopolitical noise and mixed macro data dominate headlines. Earnings don't care. S&P 500 hits new highs on the back of accelerating earnings expectations.
An Iran Deal Could Hurt Stocks. Wall Street Hasn't Priced That In.
Markets are treating a U.S.-Iran deal as a win. The energy sector math tells a different story.
U.S.-Iran Deal Is Close. Here's What That Does to Oil.
Negotiations are advancing. If sanctions come off, Iranian crude floods the market and energy stocks feel it.
The AI Trade Nobody's Watching: Transportation Is Breaking Out
Chip stocks get all the attention. The transportation sector is quietly running on two tailwinds at once.
Fed's Cook Puts Rate Hikes Back on the Table
Fed Governor Lisa Cook is holding steady for now. But she's not ruling out another hike if inflation doesn't come down on schedule.
US Crude Inventories Drop for the Sixth Straight Week
API data shows US crude stocks declined for a sixth consecutive week. Fuel inventories fell too.
The Doctor Who Saw a Gap in Healthcare and Built AI to Fill It
Aengus Tran watched an understaffed hospital in Vietnam miss diagnoses in real time. He left cardiology to fix it.
SpaceX and OpenAI Are Coming. Here's What Trillion-Dollar IPOs Do to the Market.
Two of the most anticipated IPOs in history are on deck. Whether that's good for the broader market depends on where the money comes from.
Is the U.S. Running Out of Oil? The SPR Drawdown, Explained
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve is hitting historic lows. Being a net exporter doesn't make the U.S. immune.
The Fed Isn't Cutting. The Market Doesn't Care.
Economic data keeps pushing rate cuts further out. Stocks keep going up anyway.
Cathie Wood: Institutional Money Is What's Moving Bitcoin
ARK Invest's CEO says the current Bitcoin run is institution-led. That's a different animal than 2021.
Beef Prices Are Squeezing Steakhouses. BLMN and TXRH Are Winning Anyway.
Beef costs are rising and the steakhouse sector is splitting. Chains with menu flexibility are holding. Higher-end operators have nowhere to go.
Fed's Waller: Iran Conflict Is the Bigger Risk, Not Tariffs
Fed Governor Christopher Waller says rates stay put. The Iran war is adding more uncertainty to the outlook than trade policy.
Peace Talks, Hawkish Repricing: What Markets Are Pricing In This Week
Markets whipsawed through a rejected Iran offer, a sharp hawkish repricing, and a late-week pivot toward peace optimism. Traders are now positioned for a decision that could move everything.
Inflation, GDP, Home Sales, and a Full Earnings Slate Hit This Week
Memorial Day is done. Now the data starts. Consumer prices, GDP, housing numbers, and earnings from Costco, Salesforce, Marvell, and more.
Private Credit Hit $2 Trillion. Now the Defaults Are Starting.
Private credit built itself into a $2 trillion industry on cheap money and loose regulation. Rates changed. The bill is coming due.
Trump's 3,711 Trades: What the Disclosure Actually Tells You
The president's latest financial disclosure logged 3,711 trades, almost all in U.S. equities. Many of those companies move on federal policy decisions.
Strait of Hormuz Crisis Is Choking Medical Supply Chains
The Iran conflict has turned the world's most critical oil chokepoint into a supply chain problem that extends well beyond energy. Medical supplier Gentell is one casualty.
Republicans Are Building a National Bitcoin Reserve. Here's What That Means.
GOP lawmakers are pushing to establish a U.S. Bitcoin stockpile funded by seized digital assets tied to Iran. This is a policy move with direct market implications.
New Fed Chair Warsh Signals a Reform-Oriented Fed. Markets Are Listening.
Kevin Warsh is in. His first message to markets: the Fed is changing direction. Traders are already pricing it in.
Kevin Warsh Is the New Fed Chair. He Inherited a Mess.
Warsh takes the helm with inflation still above 2% after five years and wholesale prices up 6% in April. The job just got harder.
Kevin Warsh Takes the Fed Chair. Here's What a 'Complete Reorientation' Actually Means.
Kevin Warsh is now Federal Reserve chairman. Economists say the shift goes deeper than personnel.
Mortgage Rates Jump to 6.51% as Inflation and War Fears Reprice the Market
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate climbed 15 basis points in a week. Inflation and geopolitical risk are doing the work.
Dow +278: Iran Deal Hopes Spark a Market Rebound
The Dow closed up 278 points Thursday on Iran diplomacy optimism. The session was volatile. The gain was real. The durability is the question.
IBM and Quantum Chips Lead the Dow to a Record. Walmart Tells a Different Story.
Investors are rotating out of consumer names and into deep-tech themes. The Dow hit a record, but not every component came along for the ride.
Fed Officials Put Rate Hikes Back on the Table
April FOMC minutes reveal a majority of Fed officials flagged rate hikes as a live scenario if inflation stays above 2%. That's not a dissent. That's the majority.
OpenAI's IPO Is the AI Bubble's Moment of Truth
OpenAI is going public. What the market does with it will tell traders more about AI valuations than anything that's come before.
David Hunter Predicts 80% Market Crash and 25% Inflation as Global Debt Math Breaks
Macro strategist David Hunter says a deflationary bust will force central banks to print $50 trillion. What follows is 80% equity losses and 25% inflation.
Parabilis Medicines Files for US IPO
Biopharmaceutical company Parabilis Medicines has submitted an IPO filing with US regulators. No pricing or timeline has been disclosed yet.
Profit-Taking, Not Rotation: Why the AI Trade Isn't Broadening
Tech pulled back after a strong April run. The tape says profit-taking, not a healthy shift into financials or cyclicals.
Two Inflation Charts You Can't Ignore
PPI is at 6% and climbing. History says the stock market doesn't handle what comes next well.
Dow Rises, Nasdaq Slides as Oil Surge and Treasury Yields Hit Tech
US stocks closed split Monday. The Dow gained ground while tech extended its pullback as oil prices climbed and Treasury yields stayed elevated.
The Rally Has a Test This Week. Nvidia and Retailers Are Grading It.
Markets held flat Monday as investors wait on Nvidia and major retailers to either confirm or crack the recent run-up.
The 10-Year Treasury Just Hit a 52-Week High. Here's the Real Cost.
The 10-year yield crossed 4.6% this morning. That's not just a bond market story. It reprices everything.
AI Layoffs Are Not a Stock Catalyst. The Data Proves It.
56% of S&P 500 companies that announced AI-linked layoffs are now trading in the red. The market is not buying the narrative.
S&P 500: What a Real Topping Process Looks Like
The S&P 500 is showing early signs of trend deceleration. No confirmed top yet, but the signals worth watching are starting to appear.
Global Medical Response Goes Public. Rural America Is Its Entire Business Case.
GMR just debuted on the NYSE with one core argument: in rural America, they are often the only healthcare that exists. That is the market.
S&P 500 Hits All-Time Highs. Inflation Disagrees.
The S&P 500 is at record levels while CPI runs hot, yields spike, and energy prices climb. The market is holding two contradictory positions at once.
Jerome Powell's 8-Year Fed Legacy: What the Data Actually Shows
Powell ran the Fed through zero rates, a 9% inflation spike, and the fastest hiking cycle in 40 years. Here's what he actually left behind.
S&P 500 Hits 7,517 Then Fades. Narrow Leadership Is the Warning Sign.
The S&P 500 briefly crossed 7,500 Thursday then closed the week at 7,408.50. When only a handful of names are driving index gains, that matters.
Kevin Warsh Confirmed as Fed Chair. Powell Holds Seat Until Swearing-In.
The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh to a four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair. Powell stays in the seat until the transition is complete.
Bears Are Still Betting Against Tech. The Rally Has More Room.
Short fund activity and put buying in tech remain elevated. That is not a warning sign. That is fuel.
Trump's China Visit Produces Trade Wins. Here's What Markets Are Watching.
President Trump returned from China with what his team is calling key U.S. victories. The market reaction tells part of the story.
The Market Flipped to Pricing a Rate Hike. Not Everyone Agrees.
Fed rate expectations have done a full reversal since January. Traders are now betting on hikes, not cuts.
Nasdaq and S&P 500 Hit Records Again. The Xi-Trump Summit Did Its Job.
Markets closed at record highs Thursday as the Beijing summit cooled trade war fears and a Persian Gulf stalemate kept risk appetite intact.
Wall Street Is All In on AI. This IPO Proves It.
A blockbuster AI IPO just sent a clear signal from institutional money. The enthusiasm isn't slowing down.
Kevin Warsh Is the New Fed Chair. Here's How the Market Reacted.
Warsh's confirmation landed with mixed results across indexes. Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit new all-time highs. The Dow didn't follow.
S&P 500 Hits New Highs. A Hot PPI Print Couldn't Stop It.
Producer prices surged. Bond yields spiked. Stocks closed at record highs anyway. Here's what the market is actually pricing in.
Kevin Warsh Is the New Fed Chair. The Senate Barely Agreed.
Kevin Warsh was confirmed as Federal Reserve Chair on May 13, 2026 — in the most divided Senate vote for the position in modern history.
The AI Buildout Is Breaking Hyperscalers. Semiconductor Stocks Are Collecting the Check.
Big Tech is borrowing billions to fund AI infrastructure. The companies selling the chips are cashing in.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq Fall as Inflation Heats Up and Chips Sell Off
Markets sold off Tuesday. Hot inflation, rising yields, and a sharp drop in semiconductors pulled both major indices lower.
Crude Inventories Drop for the Fourth Straight Week. Gasoline Is the Outlier.
API data shows another weekly drawdown in US crude stocks, extending a four-week streak. Gasoline inventories moved the other direction.
Kyle Reidhead: Cloud Giants Are Winning the AI Trade. The Next One Is Energy and Autonomy.
AI is restructuring internet infrastructure. Cloud leaders are capturing it now. The next trade points to data center power and autonomous vehicles.
Tom Lee Says Risk-Reward Still Favors Equities. Even the Stocks Already Running.
Fundstrat's Tom Lee isn't backing off his bullish stance. His argument: the math still works, even for the stocks leading the move.
Dow Surges 600 Points as US-Iran Talks and AI Rally Push S&P 500 to Record
The Dow gained 612 points Wednesday. The S&P 500 closed at a record 7,365.09. Three catalysts drove it.
Treasury Yields Look High. Here's Why That's Not a Buy Signal Yet.
Yields are at multi-year highs. The fiscal math behind them says the better entry is still ahead.
Pimco CEO: Data Center Financing Is Where the Opportunity Is
Emmanuel Roman says Pimco sees strong deal flow in data center debt. When one of the world's largest fixed income managers starts talking pipelines, pay attention.
Momentum and Growth Won April. The Data Is Clear.
Value and quality investing got pushed aside in April. Momentum returned 19.3% and pure growth returned 16% in the S&P 500.
Guggenheim's CIO Sees One Fed Cut Left This Year. Iran Is the Wild Card.
Anne Walsh of Guggenheim Partners laid out her macro outlook at the Milken Institute Global Conference. One more rate cut. One big risk.
Tom McClellan's Market Timer Just Flipped Bearish
NYSE breadth turned negative enough to trigger a bearish signal from one of the market's most-watched timing indicators. Here's what that means.
4 Mechanics Driving S&P 500 and AI Earnings Higher
The S&P 500 earnings surge isn't random. Four mechanical forces are doing the work, and they're concentrated in one sector.
April's Market Rally and Spirit Airlines' Liquidation Threat: Week in Review
April delivered a notable market rally. Spirit Airlines may not survive its second bankruptcy.
LNG Canada Hits 1 Million Metric Tons in a Single Month. First Time Ever.
LNG Canada exported over 1 million metric tons in April, setting a monthly record. The facility only came online in 2025.
Petroleum Inventories Are Falling. The Energy Stress Is Spreading.
U.S. petroleum stockpiles are declining. That trend, combined with Fed uncertainty and softening consumer spending, is putting pressure on multiple systems at once.
Trump Eyes US Troop Pullback from Germany. Defense Stocks Are Paying Attention.
Trump is reviewing whether to cut US military presence in Germany. Senior officers are making the case to stay. The market already has a position on this.
Powell Isn't Leaving. Here's What That Means for Markets.
The Fed chair is staying put. Tension between the Fed and the White House isn't new, but the stakes this time are different.
UAE Exits OPEC. US Swap Lines Move In. The Gulf Is Repricing Risk.
The UAE's OPEC departure and potential US swap lines point to a Gulf region under real structural stress. This is not a drill for energy markets.
Powell Calls the U.S. Economy 'Remarkably Resilient.' The Data Backs Him Up.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell says the U.S. economy has powered through shock after shock. That's not spin. That's what the numbers show.
Who Controls the Fed's Swap Lines? Warsh Is Rewriting the Answer.
The UAE requested a dollar swap line from the U.S. Treasury Secretary confirmed it. Now Kevin Warsh is suggesting the Fed may not have the final word on who gets access.
Fed Holds at 3.5%-3.75% as the Powell Era Ends
The Fed kept rates steady at its April meeting. A divided committee and an outgoing chair make the next move harder to call.
NVDA Pulls the Market to New Records While Consumer Stocks Drag
Stocks closed at new highs on Nvidia's strength. Consumer staples and discretionary names told a different story.
Budget Airlines Ask Washington for $2.5B Amid Jet Fuel Squeeze
Frontier and Avelo are reportedly seeking $2.5 billion in federal assistance tied to rising jet fuel costs. The ask puts budget carriers back in Washington's lap.
Wall Street Just Put a $200K Target on Bitcoin by 2027
A major Wall Street investment firm says BTC hits $200,000 by 2027. That's a 160% move from current levels. Here's what the data says.
S&P 500 Technical Setup: 7424 Is the Target, 7002 Is the Line
The S&P 500 is holding clean technical support. As long as 7046 and 7002 hold, the chart points to 7424-7490.
AI and Energy Are Pulling the Fed in Opposite Directions
The Fed is balancing two mandates right now. Forces on both sides are making that harder.
Futures Open After Record Friday. Here's What's Next.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq just posted a record-setting session. Now the market faces geopolitics and fresh economic data.
Trump Throws a Party for TRUMP Holders. The Token Is Near Its Low.
The president hosted the biggest TRUMP memecoin holders at Mar-a-Lago. The price chart wasn't invited.
Kevin Warsh Is Walking Into a Trap: White House Wants Cuts, Inflation Disagrees
Incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces pressure from the White House and consumers to cut rates. The inflation data doesn't care about that pressure.
Bitwise's CIO Just Called $29 on XRP. The Price Is $1.43.
XRP is down 45% year-to-date and range-bound between $1.30 and $1.50. Bitwise's CIO has a $29 target on it.
Lincoln International Files for US IPO
The middle-market investment bank filed for a US IPO on Friday. No pricing or timeline announced yet.
Kudlow: Republicans Are About to Blow the Budget Moment
The GOP has a window to pass a genuinely pro-growth budget bill. Kudlow says they're negotiating themselves out of it.
Powell's Probe Is Dead. Kevin Warsh Is Next in Line.
The Trump administration dropped its inquiry into Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Now attention shifts to Kevin Warsh and what a leadership change at the Fed actually means for rates.
Cannabis Rescheduling Is Official. Marijuana Stocks Sold Off Anyway.
Acting AG Todd Blanche signed the rescheduling order. The market responded by selling.
SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic: What Three Mega-IPOs Would Do to Markets
Three of the largest private companies in the world are circling public markets. If they list, the ripple effects go well beyond their sectors.
Trump Signals Higher Gas Prices Ahead as Iran Conflict Drags On
Trump says gas prices are going higher for 'a little while' and he's in no rush to end the Iran conflict. Markets have barely moved. That gap is worth watching.
Dow Jumps 340 Points as Ceasefire and Earnings Snap the Losing Streak
Markets flipped green Wednesday. A US-Iran ceasefire extension and a strong earnings start gave bulls something to work with.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq Hit Records. Oil Says the War Isn't Over.
Equities rallied to all-time highs on cease-fire extension news. Brent crude crossing $100 tells a different story.
Physical Oil Is 20% Above Futures. Markets Are Asleep at the Wheel.
Futures traders are pricing in ceasefire optimism. Physical oil is pricing a supply crisis. Those two things cannot both be right.
Trump Extends Iran Cease-Fire. The Blockade Stays.
The U.S. is holding its cease-fire with Iran indefinitely. The naval blockade on Iranian ports doesn't lift until Iran produces a unified proposal.
ROBO Index Assets Have Doubled. Physical AI Is Why.
Global assets tied to the ROBO Global Robotics and Automation Index doubled in 12 months. The AI trade is moving from data centers to factory floors.
Kevin Warsh's Fed Chair Hearing: The Moments That Mattered
Senate Democrats put Kevin Warsh under the microscope on financial disclosures and Fed independence. Here's what came out.
TSMC Beat. Banks Beat. Stocks Barely Moved. Here's Why.
Strong earnings used to move stocks. Right now they aren't. The reason matters more than the miss.
Physical Oil Is at $112. The Futures Market Hasn't Caught Up.
Physical crude is trading $17 above paper oil as the Strait of Hormuz closure breaks the global supply chain. That gap doesn't exist in normal markets.
AI Buildout Spending Is Still Rising. U.S. and EM Stocks Are Positioned for It.
AI infrastructure spending is climbing from already-historic levels. The capital allocation is broad, accelerating, and still not done.
Software's Biggest Losers Just Led the Rally. There's a Lesson Here.
Cybersecurity and enterprise software got hammered to start the year. Last week they bounced hard. The playbook behind that move is older than most traders realize.
Iran Tensions Return. The S&P Just Hit Record Highs. That's the Problem.
A three-week rally pushed the S&P 500 to new highs. Then the weekend happened. Traders are recalibrating.
S&P 500 at 7126: Rally or Blow-Off Top?
The S&P 500 closed at 7126 after the Strait of Hormuz reopened. The technical target is 7424-7490. That does not mean the uptrend is clean.
Nasdaq Posts Longest Win Streak Since 1992. It's Also Up 100% in Three Years.
Thirteen consecutive days of gains. The Nasdaq hasn't done that since 1992. Since May 2023, it's doubled.
Iran Moves on the Strait. Oil Falls Anyway. Stocks Rally.
Iran restricted access to the Strait of Hormuz. Oil futures dropped. Markets went up. Here's what happened.
Markets Climb as Geopolitical Risks Fade and Earnings Deliver
Equities pushed higher as geopolitical pressure eased and early earnings came in solid. Two tailwinds hitting at the same time.
Russell 2000 Hits a Record High. Small Caps Are Finally Moving.
The Russell 2000 broke to an intraday all-time high Friday, capping a 13-day win streak. The rally is no longer just a big-tech story.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq Hit Records After Best Three-Week Run Since 2020
Both indexes closed at all-time highs as cease-fire optimism cleared enough uncertainty to push equities to their strongest three-week stretch in four years.
Hedge Funds Are Sitting on Record Treasury Bets. Apollo Says That's a Problem.
Apollo is warning that hedge fund positioning in Treasuries has reached levels that could destabilize the global bond market. The numbers back it up.
Nasdaq Posts Record High on 12th Straight Gain. Investors Are Back in Tech.
The Nasdaq closed at a fresh all-time high, extending its winning streak to 12 consecutive sessions. Tech is leading and the rotation is broad.
S&P 500 Is Back at All-Time Highs. Here's What the Data Says.
The S&P 500 is in record territory. History says that's not the top. But context matters.
Markets Are at All-Time Highs. The Strait of Hormuz Is Still Closed.
US equities staged a V-shaped recovery while a major energy chokepoint stays shut. The market is betting on a fast resolution. History says that bet has a catch.
S&P and Nasdaq Close at Records. Ceasefire Hopes Did the Work.
Both indexes hit all-time highs as markets priced in geopolitical relief. Risk was on across the board.
S&P 500 Near 7,000: The Setup Before the Drop
The index looks stable. The flows holding it up are temporary. Here is what the data says about the next two to three months.
Gold vs. Treasuries: Central Banks Are Changing Where They Put Their Money
Foreign central banks aren't dumping Treasuries. They're holding them in different places and quietly stacking gold. The shift started in 2022 and hasn't reversed.
PPI Holds at 0.5% in March as Gas Prices Spike on Iran Conflict
Wholesale inflation came in flat month-over-month despite an energy surge tied to the war in Iran. The number matched February and came in below expectations.
Iran War Drags On. Stocks Are Near Record Highs. Here's the Disconnect.
The Strait of Hormuz is closed, peace talks failed, and the S&P 500 is near all-time highs. Markets aren't ignoring the war. They're trading past it.
White House Report: DEI Policies Cost the U.S. Economy $94 Billion
A White House study links DEI-driven promotions to management inefficiency and a $94 billion drag on economic output.
The AI Rally Looks Like 1999. The Macro Doesn't.
The AI cycle mirrors the late-90s internet boom. But in 1999, the government ran a surplus, the workforce was growing, and debt was manageable. None of that is true today.
Tom Lee: War Is Actually Lifting Earnings Right Now
Fundstrat's Tom Lee says the conflict backdrop is a net positive for corporate earnings. The mechanism is straightforward. Most people are just ignoring it.
S&P 500 Erases All Losses Since Iran Conflict Began
The S&P 500 has clawed back every point lost since the Iran conflict escalated. War premium, gone.
Small Caps Are Beating the Market by 8.5 Points. First Time in Six Years.
US small-cap stocks have outperformed large caps by 8.5 percentage points in 2026. That is the sharpest reversal of a six-year trend.
April's Rally Has Its First Real Test. Earnings Season Starts Now.
The S&P 500 clawed back ground since early April. Now corporate results will decide whether any of it holds.
S&P 500 Retraces 77% of Its Drop. The Rally Has a Ceiling.
The S&P 500 clawed back 77% of its recent selloff in April. Above 6850, the tape gets heavier.
Stocks Are Recovering. The Macro Data Will Decide If It Holds.
A portfolio manager says stocks are coming back. The March inflation print and Fed rate cut odds will determine if that's a trend or a bounce.
S&P 500 Posts Best Week Since November: +3.9%
The S&P 500 gained 3.9% last week, its strongest weekly performance since November. The index now sits 2.32% below its all-time high.
Global PMI: Every Sector Is Feeling the Middle East War
Survey data confirms the Middle East conflict is dragging growth across all major global industries. The numbers aren't subtle.
Finviz vs TradingView vs Unusual Whales vs ChartOdds: How to Stack the Tools Serious Traders Actually Use
Most traders pick one platform and stop there. Here is how to stack Finviz, TradingView, Unusual Whales, and ChartOdds to close every research gap before you enter a trade.
Stock Splits Explained: Forward vs Reverse, Price Impact, and What Happens to Your Options
A stock split changes the number of shares outstanding and the price per share, but not your total position value. Here is what traders need to know about forward splits, reverse splits, and how they affect price action and options contracts.
The Whisper Number: Why Beating Earnings Isn't Always Enough
A consensus beat doesn't mean the stock cleared the real bar. The earnings whisper is the unofficial expectation that actually moves price — and missing it sends stocks lower even when the headline looks good.
EPS Beat vs Revenue Beat: Which One Actually Matters More
Not all earnings beats are equal. Here is how to read the full scorecard and know which number actually moves the stock.
IV Crush: Why Buying Options Into Earnings Almost Always Loses
Implied volatility spikes before earnings and collapses the moment the report drops. Here is why buying calls or puts into earnings is a losing game for most retail traders, and how to position around it.
Day Trading vs Swing Trading: Which Style Fits Your Edge
Two approaches, two completely different lifestyles. Here is how day trading strategies and a swing trading strategy stack up on time, capital, stress, and win rate expectations before you pick a side.
Risk Management Trading: Why Position Sizing Determines Your Survival
Most retail traders don't blow up from bad picks. They blow up from bad sizing. Here's the complete framework for position sizing, stop placement, and R-multiples.
Volume Confirms Price: How to Read Trading Volume Like a Pro
Price moves without volume are rumors. Price moves with volume are facts. Here is how volume analysis in trading separates real breakouts from traps.
Momentum Trading Strategy: How to Ride Trends and Avoid the Chase
Momentum trading works because trends persist and human psychology doesn't change. Here's the strategy, the key indicators, and how to trade momentum without chasing.
Why Forward Guidance Moves Stocks More Than the EPS Number
A company can beat earnings estimates and still drop 10% the next morning. Here is why forward guidance is the number the market actually trades.
Trading Journal: The Metrics That Actually Reveal Your Edge
A trading journal template is only as good as what you track. Here is how setup type, R-multiple, execution grade, and emotional state turn your trade history into data you can act on.
Put/Call Ratio Explained: How Options Flow Reveals Market Sentiment
The put/call ratio is one of the cleanest sentiment indicators in the options market. Here is how to read it, when extreme readings matter, and how to use it without getting whipsawed.
Extended Hours Trading: After-Hours, Pre-Market, and How to Read the Gaps
Extended hours trading happens outside the 9:30-4 window. Here's how it works, why earnings move stocks after hours, and what pre-market gaps actually tell you.
Support and Resistance: The Foundation of Price Action
Support and resistance are the two most fundamental concepts in technical analysis. Here is what they are, why they work, and how to use them to trade with precision.
Paper Trading: How to Test Strategies Before Risking Real Capital
Paper trading is how serious traders learn without losing. Here's how to use it right, where it falls short, and when to make the switch to live markets.
Crypto Stock Earnings: COIN, MSTR, RIOT, and MARA Beat Rates Compared
Four crypto-adjacent stocks. Four very different earnings beat rates. Here is what the numbers say about COIN, MSTR, RIOT, and MARA, and how to trade around each one.
EV Stock Earnings 2026: Tesla vs. Rivian vs. Lucid Beat Rates Compared
TSLA beats 50% of the time. RIVN beats 75%. LCID beats just 25%. Here is what those numbers mean for traders positioning around EV stock earnings in 2026.
How to Use ChartOdds: A Trader's Guide to the Earnings Research Platform
Learn how to use ChartOdds to research earnings beat rates, historical price movements, and stock odds before you enter a trade.
NVDA vs AMD Earnings: Who Wins the Beat Rate Battle
Nvidia beats earnings 87.5% of the time. AMD clocks in at 81.2%. The data reveals which semiconductor stock gives traders a cleaner, more consistent setup.
Bank Earnings Beat Rates: How JPM, GS, BAC, C, and WFC Stack Up
Bank earnings season is one of the most predictable events on the trading calendar. Here is what the historical beat rate data shows for the five biggest U.S. banks.
Big Tech Earnings Beat Rates: Apple vs. Microsoft vs. Alphabet vs. Meta
Apple and Microsoft both clock 93.8% earnings beat rates. Meta sits at 81.2%. Alphabet hits 75%. Here is what those numbers mean for traders heading into 2026 earnings season.
Q2 2026 Earnings Season Preview: What Traders Need to Watch
Tariffs, rate uncertainty, and AI capex collide in Q2 2026 earnings season. Here are the names, sectors, and macro forces that will set the tone.
Best Time to Buy Before Earnings: Timing the Pre-Earnings Window
Pre-earnings trading has a timing window most traders miss. Here's when to enter to capture drift and avoid IV crush.
How to Read a Stock's Earnings History
Beat rate, consistency, post-earnings price reaction, trend analysis. Here is exactly what to look at when you pull up a stock's earnings history.
Unusual Options Activity: What It Is and How to Spot It Before Earnings
Unusual options activity reveals where smart money is positioning before the stock market reacts. Here is what the signals mean and how traders read options flow before earnings.
Why Stocks Fall After Beating Earnings
A company beats estimates. Revenue up. Profits up. The stock opens down 8%. This is not an anomaly. It is how markets work. Here is why stocks drop after earnings beats and what traders need to know.
Implied Move vs Historical Move: Where Earnings Edge Comes From
Options price in an expected earnings swing. History often tells a different story. When implied runs above historical, option sellers have a systematic advantage worth understanding.
Earnings Beat Rate by Sector: Which Industries Consistently Outperform
Tech leads. Energy swings. Healthcare surprises. Here is how each major sector stacks up on earnings beats and what that means for your next trade.
How Serious Traders Use Historical Earnings Data to Set Up Earnings Trades
Beat rates, post-earnings price movement, and implied vs actual move — here is how to build an earnings trading strategy grounded in data, not guesses.
Earnings Beat Rate: What It Is and How Traders Use It
Earnings beat rate tells you how often a company tops analyst estimates. Here's why it matters and how to use historical earnings data to get an edge before the print.
RIOT Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Says
Riot Platforms reports next on May 7. Here's what 16 quarters of earnings data say about trading RIOT around the print.
MSTR Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
MSTR beats earnings just 31.2% of the time across 16 quarters. Here is what the historical data says about trading Strategy Inc earnings.
BIDU Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate and What the Data Says About Trading It
Baidu has beaten earnings estimates in 15 of its last 16 quarters. Here is what the historical data says about trading BIDU earnings.
BABA Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
Alibaba beats earnings 75% of the time. The stock still drops after most of those beats. Here is what the data actually says.
TSM Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate, But the Stock Still Drops
TSM beats earnings estimates nearly every quarter. The next-day stock reaction tells a different story. Here's what 16 quarters of data actually show.
LULU Earnings History: 100% Beat Rate, Tricky Price Action, and What Traders Should Know
Lululemon has beaten earnings estimates in all 16 quarters on record. Here is what the historical data says about price action after the print.
NKE Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate, But the Stock Still Drops
Nike beats earnings estimates at an elite rate. What happens to the stock price afterward is more complicated.
HD Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Says
Home Depot beats earnings 81.2% of the time. Here is what the historical data says about next-day moves and how to trade the setup.
COST Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Actually Says
Costco beats earnings estimates 81.2% of the time. Here is what actually happens to the stock the day after.
TGT Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Actually Shows
Target beats earnings 62.5% of the time, but the stock only goes up the next day 20% of the time after a beat. Here is what the historical data shows before the May 20 report.
WMT Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Says
Walmart beats earnings 81.2% of the time, but the next-day reaction is more complicated. Here is what the historical data shows before the next WMT earnings date.
GE Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate and What the Data Actually Says
GE Aerospace beats earnings nearly every quarter. What happens to the stock afterward tells a different story.
RTX Earnings History: 100% Beat Rate and What to Expect on April 21
RTX has beaten analyst estimates in all 16 quarters on record. Here's what the historical data says about price action heading into April 21.
LMT Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate and What the Data Says for April 2026
Lockheed Martin has beaten earnings estimates in 15 of its last 16 quarters. Here is what the historical data says about price behavior after each report.
BA Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know Before April 22
Boeing beats estimates just 37.5% of the time. Here is what 16 quarters of ChartOdds data shows about BA earnings odds before the April 22 report.
RIVN Earnings: 75% Beat Rate, But the Price Reaction Tells a Different Story
Rivian beats earnings estimates 75% of the time, but the next-day price reaction does not follow. Here is what the historical data shows before the May 5 report.
F Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
Ford has beaten earnings estimates in 10 of its last 16 quarters. Here is what the data says about what happens next.
GM Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate and the Odds Heading Into April 28
GM has beaten earnings estimates in 15 of its last 16 quarters. Here is what the historical data says about trading the April 28 report.
TMUS Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
T-Mobile has beaten earnings estimates 87.5% of the time over 16 quarters. Here is what the TMUS earnings history says about odds heading into the April 28 print.
VZ Earnings History: 62.5% Beat Rate, Post-Earnings Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
Verizon beats earnings estimates 62.5% of the time over 16 quarters. Here is what the data says about next-day price action heading into April 27.
AT&T Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
AT&T has beaten earnings estimates in 87.5% of the last 16 quarters. Here is what the data says about trading T into earnings.
CMCSA Earnings History: Perfect Beat Rate, Surprising Price Odds
Comcast has beaten earnings estimates 16 consecutive times. Here is what the data actually says about what happens to the stock next.
TTD Earnings History: 81.2% Beat Rate, -6.27% Average Move After
The Trade Desk beats earnings 81.2% of the time. The stock averages a -6.27% move the next day after a beat.
SPOT Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know Before April 28
Spotify has beaten earnings estimates just 37.5% of the time over 16 quarters. Here is what the historical data says about trading SPOT into April 28.
DIS Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
Disney beats earnings estimates 87.5% of the time across 16 quarters of data. Here is what the historical record says about trading DIS around earnings.
COP Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Actually Shows
ConocoPhillips beats earnings 75% of the time. Here's what actually happens to the stock after the print.
OXY Earnings History: 75% Beat Rate and What the Data Says About the Next Move
OXY has beaten earnings estimates 75% of the time over the last 16 quarters. Here is what the historical data says about next-day price action.
CVX Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
Chevron has beaten earnings estimates 75% of the time over the last 16 quarters. Here is what the historical data says about trading CVX around earnings.
XOM Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Actually Says
Exxon Mobil beats earnings estimates at a high rate, but the next-day price reaction tells a different story. Here is what 16 quarters of data show.
AMGN Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate and What the Data Says for May 2026
Amgen has beaten earnings estimates 15 out of 16 quarters. Here is what the historical data says about trading AMGN earnings.
MRNA Earnings History: 87.5% Beat Rate and What Traders Need to Know
Moderna has beaten earnings estimates in 14 of 16 quarters. Here is what the data says about MRNA earnings odds heading into May 7, 2026.
ABBV Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate and What It Means for Traders
AbbVie beats earnings estimates at one of the highest rates in large-cap pharma. Here is what the historical data shows heading into the April 29 report.
PFE Earnings: 16-for-16 Beat Rate and What Traders Need to Know
Pfizer has beaten earnings estimates every single quarter for the past four years. Here is what the data says about how the stock actually moves after each report.
UNH Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
UnitedHealth Group beats earnings 87.5% of the time. Here is what the data says about trading UNH before the April 21 report.
LLY Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Says
Eli Lilly beats earnings 81.2% of the time. Here is what ChartOdds historical data shows about LLY earnings and what happens to the stock after each print.
JNJ Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate and What the Data Says Before April 14
Johnson and Johnson beats earnings estimates at an elite rate. Here is what 16 quarters of data reveal about trading JNJ around earnings.
Citigroup Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and Trade Setup for April 14
C has beaten earnings estimates 87.5% of the time over the last 16 quarters. Here is what the historical data says heading into April 14, 2026.
SCHW Earnings History: 87.5% Beat Rate and What the Odds Say for April 16
Charles Schwab beats earnings 87.5% of the time across 16 quarters. Here is what the historical data says about SCHW stock moves heading into April 16.
MA Earnings: 16 Beats, 0 Misses and What the Data Says About the Trade
Mastercard has beaten earnings estimates 16 consecutive quarters. Here is what the post-earnings price action actually looks like.
V Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Says
Visa has one of the most consistent earnings track records in the market. Here is what the historical data shows heading into the next report.
MS Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Says
Morgan Stanley beats earnings estimates 81.2% of the time. Here is what the historical data shows about post-earnings moves ahead of the April 15 report.
BAC Earnings History: 100% Beat Rate and What It Means for Traders
Bank of America has beaten earnings estimates in all 16 tracked quarters. Here is what the data says about next-day price action before the April 15 report.
GS Earnings History, Beat Rate, and Odds: Should You Trade Goldman Sachs Earnings?
Goldman Sachs beats earnings estimates 87.5% of the time. Here is what the historical data says about next-day price action and whether the trade is worth making.
JPM Earnings History: 75% Beat Rate, 50/50 Next-Day Odds
JPMorgan Chase beats earnings 75% of the time. The next-day price reaction is another story.
ABNB Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
Airbnb has beaten earnings estimates 75% of the time over the last 16 quarters. Here is what the data actually shows about post-earnings price action.
RBLX Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
Roblox has beaten earnings estimates 62.5% of the time over 16 quarters. Here is what the data says about what happens next.
SQ Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Says
Block, Inc. has beaten earnings estimates in 8 of its last 12 quarters. Here is what the SQ earnings history says about trading the event.
SOFI Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate and What the Data Says for Traders
SoFi Technologies has beaten earnings estimates in 15 of 16 quarters. Here is what that track record actually means for trading the next report.
HOOD Earnings History: 87.5% Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Actually Get
Robinhood beats earnings 87.5% of the time, but the next-day stock reaction tells a different story. Here is what 16 quarters of data show.
COIN Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
Coinbase beats Wall Street estimates 56.2% of the time, but the next-day price reaction is rarely what traders expect. Here is what the data actually shows.
PYPL Earnings History: 81% Beat Rate, But the Stock Still Falls
PayPal beats earnings estimates 81.2% of the time. The next-day price action tells a different story.
SHOP Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
Shopify reports on May 14, 2026. Here is what 16 quarters of SHOP earnings history actually shows.
UBER Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
UBER beats earnings estimates 62.5% of the time. Here is what 16 quarters of data says about what happens next.
SNOW Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate, Next-Day Odds, and What to Do With It
Snowflake has beaten earnings estimates 93.8% of the time over 16 quarters. Here is what the data says about how the stock actually moves after each report.
PLTR Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Says
Palantir has beaten earnings estimates 75% of the time over 16 quarters. Here's what the data says about trading PLTR earnings on May 4.
ARM Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
ARM Holdings has beaten earnings estimates in 8 of the last 10 quarters. Here's what the data says about how the stock actually moves after each report.
AVGO Earnings History: 100% Beat Rate Across 16 Straight Quarters
Broadcom has beaten earnings estimates in every quarter on record. Here is what the ChartOdds data says about trading AVGO earnings.
MU Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Actually Says
Micron beats earnings estimates 87.5% of the time, but the stock drops after most beats. Here is what 16 quarters of MU earnings data tells traders.
QCOM Earnings History: 87.5% Beat Rate and What Actually Happens After
QUALCOMM beats earnings 87.5% of the time. Here is what the data says about what actually happens to the stock after the print.
INTC Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Actually Says
Intel beats earnings estimates 68.8% of the time, but the average next-day move after a beat is -2.16%. Here is what the data says before April 23.
ORCL Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
Oracle beats earnings estimates 68.8% of the time. Here is what the historical data says about ORCL earnings odds and next-day price moves.
ADBE Earnings History: A 93.8% Beat Rate and the Trap That Comes With It
Adobe beats earnings estimates nearly every quarter. Here is what the historical data actually shows about ADBE stock movement after earnings.
CRM Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Actually Shows
Salesforce has beaten earnings estimates in 15 of its last 16 quarters. Here is what the data says about what happens to the stock after.
NFLX Earnings History: 81.2% Beat Rate and What the Odds Actually Mean
Netflix beats earnings estimates 81.2% of the time, but the stock closes higher the next day less than half the time. Here is what 16 quarters of NFLX earnings data actually shows.
AMD Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Actually Shows
AMD has beaten earnings estimates in 13 of the last 16 quarters. Here is what the historical data says about what happens next.
TSLA Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
Tesla has beaten earnings estimates in exactly half of its last 16 quarters. Here is what the historical data actually says about trading TSLA earnings.
META Earnings Beat Rate Is 81.2%: What the Data Says Before April 29
META has beaten earnings estimates 13 of the last 16 quarters. Here is what the historical data says about price action and the odds heading into the next report.
GOOGL Earnings History: 75% Beat Rate, But Should You Trade It?
Alphabet beats earnings 75% of the time. The post-beat price reaction is a coin flip.
AMZN Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Shows
Amazon beats earnings 75% of the time. Here is what 16 quarters of data say about price moves and trading odds around AMZN earnings.
NVDA Earnings History: 87.5% Beat Rate and What the Odds Actually Say
NVDA has beaten earnings estimates in 14 of 16 quarters. Here is what the data says about next-day price moves and trading the report.
MSFT Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What the Data Actually Shows
Microsoft beats earnings 93.8% of the time. Here is what the historical data shows about MSFT earnings odds and what happens to the stock after the print.
AAPL Earnings History: Beat Rate, Odds, and What Traders Need to Know
Apple beats earnings estimates 93.8% of the time. Here is what the historical data actually says about what happens next.
California's GDP Hit $4 Trillion. Here's What a 40% Surge Actually Means.
California's economy grew 40% since 2019 and now clears $4 trillion. It accounts for more than 14% of all U.S. output.
Gold Is Now America's Top Export: $17.88B in a Single Month
U.S. gold exports hit $17.88 billion in one month. That's the highest on record going back at least two decades, likely ever.
Stagflation Is Back on the Table. Here's What the Fed Is Facing.
Inflation is rising again and rate cuts are getting priced out. Some analysts now see a hike in 2026.
NVDA Earnings: What the Historical Data Actually Says
Before you touch NVDA options this earnings cycle, look at what 10 years of data shows about how this stock actually moves.
Trading Odds vs. Price Targets: One Is Data, One Is a Guess
Price targets are dressed-up opinions. Historical odds are a track record. The difference matters more than most traders realize.
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